Metro

  • Written by Sam Fulwood III, Fellow, Center for Congressional and Presidential Studies, American University

To judge by the brief, but furious, flurry of recent news[1] and social media reports about the 2020 presidential campaign[2], the fate of the election may very well be decided by a previously undetected groundswell of support for President Donald Trump by young Black men.

In the closing days of the campaign, a pair of hip-hop artists – 50 Cent and[3] Ice Cube[4] – drew widespread political attention by expressing support for Trump or, at least, a willingness to work with him in a second term.

Specifically, 50 Cent - born Curtis James Jackson III[5] - endorsed Trump’s reelection in a Twitter post, saying he feared Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden would raise his taxes. “Yeah, I don’t want to be 20cent,” he wrote, noting that higher taxes on the rich “is a very, very, bad idea. I don’t like it.”

For his part, Ice Cube - born O'Shea Jackson[6] - didn’t exactly endorse Trump. He acknowledged in interviews[7] that he had talked with Trump campaign officials about their interest in his Contract with Black America[8]. Ice Cube revealed his 13-point contract in July as a response to the public protests following the killing of George Floyd, describing it as “a blueprint to achieve racial economic justice” with proposals addressing financial, police, criminal justice and education reforms.

By entertaining a conversation with the campaign concerning his proposals, Ice Cube provided the opening for an adviser to the president’s re-election campaign to tweet[9] that the rapper was on board with Team Trump, overstating the reality of the situation.

As a scholar who studies the intersection of race, public policy, elections, media and popular culture[10], I know more than enough about this subject to say authoritatively that 50 Cent and Ice Cube represent neither widespread Black political thought, nor a hidden pocket of pro-Trump activism among Black men.

Quite the contrary. They are outliers within the larger Black voting community - which includes young Black men - and they are unlikely to sway a considerable number of Black voters away from the Democratic candidate in the November 3 election.

Little Trump support

In a study[11] conducted earlier this summer[12] with colleagues at American University’s Center for Congressional and Presidential Studies and School of Communications, we found that Trump is exceedingly unpopular among Black Americans[13].

For example, among all of the 1,215 Black American respondents surveyed during early July in six key swing states (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida), only 7% said they intended to vote for Trump and 66% said they planned to vote for Biden.

Among just Black men, 10% said they preferred Trump[14], a figure that is only slightly higher than the overall support among Black Americans, but far smaller than the 60% of Black men who said they preferred Biden. Almost a third, 29%, of the Black men said they would vote for someone else or didn’t know whom they would support.

Our findings are consistent with historical Black voting patterns. Indeed, since the civil rights movement of the late 1960s, Republican presidential candidates have reaped no more than 13% of the African American vote[15].

According to figures collected and analyzed by the Pew Research Center[16], Trump collected 8% of the votes cast by Black Americans in 2016, which was slightly better than the 6% that went to GOP nominee Mitt Romney in 2012[17].

Of course, Black support for Democratic nominee Barack Obama was off the charts. He had a 91-point advantage in 2008[18] and an 87-point advantage in 2012[19].

A man sits in a folding chair, waiting to vote in Savannah, Georgia Richard Williams sits as he waits in line to vote early in Savannah, Ga., on Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2020. Black people have, since the mid-1960s, voted by huge margins for Democratic presidential candidates. AP Photo/Russ Bynum[20]

More contemporary polling suggests that Trump’s support among Black Americans will fall in line with historical precedents. As a recent Gallup report[21] noted, it’s “highly unlikely” that this pattern of voting by Black Americans will change during this election:

The recent Sept. 13-16 Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll found Biden leading Trump among Black voters by 90% to 5%. Gallup’s aggregated data from polls conducted July 30-Aug. 12 and Aug. 31-Sept. 13 show Trump approval – a rough surrogate for likelihood to vote for Trump – at 11% among Black Americans, with disapproval at 87%.

And according to a new CBS-BET poll released on October 25[22], only 8% of likely voters who are Black say they will vote for Trump. Yet, according to the CBS News report on the poll, “Half of Black seniors say they’re supporting Biden mainly because they like him, but that (support) drops to 28% among Black Biden voters under 30.”

Rather than a wholesale swing of voter support to Trump or the GOP following 50 Cent and Ice Cube, our research suggests[23] many younger African Americans - with millenial-aged Black men leading the way - are so disillusioned by politics, they may opt out of participating in the election at all.

What’s the point?

Many Black Americans who are first-timers or relatively new to voting told us in focus group settings that they don’t see the point of choosing between the lesser of two evils.

Unlike their parents and grandparents who lived through racial segregation, the civil rights movement and a radical, racial transformation of American society, young Black people who have come of age in the past 30 years told us in focus groups that they have little to nothing that they can cite as examples of progress[24] that can be attributed directly to politics - or voting.

To be sure, much of what they’ve experienced in their lifetimes has been the negative consequences of political stalemate in Washington[25], persistent economic inequality[26], widening health disparities[27] afflicting their communities, and crushing student loan debt[28] that makes building wealth with the purchase of a home and establishment of savings almost impossible. And perhaps most deadly and dramatic are the resurgent waves of racism and police violence[29] directed at them and their loved ones.

[Deep knowledge, daily. Sign up for The Conversation’s newsletter[30].]

Little wonder, therefore, that some Black men - especially those who desperately want to engage in politics to improve conditions for themselves and their communities - might seek alternatives to the status quo of politics. It is into that chasm of despair and disillusionment that the Trump campaign seems to be seeking a foothold by making it appear that young Black men[31] are falling in formation with its campaign.

Nothing could be further from the truth. Or as the rappers like to say: Don’t believe the hype[32].

This story has been updated to correct that George Floyd was killed while in police custody.

References

  1. ^ flurry of recent news (www.essence.com)
  2. ^ about the 2020 presidential campaign (www.latimes.com)
  3. ^ 50 Cent and (thehill.com)
  4. ^ Ice Cube (www.fayobserver.com)
  5. ^ 50 Cent - born Curtis James Jackson III (www.betpressroom.com)
  6. ^ Ice Cube - born O'Shea Jackson (www.encyclopedia.com)
  7. ^ He acknowledged in interviews (www.rollingstone.com)
  8. ^ Contract with Black America (contractwithblackamerica.us)
  9. ^ tweet (twitter.com)
  10. ^ scholar who studies the intersection of race, public policy, elections, media and popular culture (theconversation.com)
  11. ^ In a study (www.american.edu)
  12. ^ conducted earlier this summer (cdn.theconversation.com)
  13. ^ we found that Trump is exceedingly unpopular among Black Americans (theconversation.com)
  14. ^ 10% said they preferred Trump (cdn.theconversation.com)
  15. ^ Republican presidential candidates have reaped no more than 13% of the African American vote (blackdemographics.com)
  16. ^ the Pew Research Center (www.pewresearch.org)
  17. ^ 6% that went to GOP nominee Mitt Romney in 2012 (ropercenter.cornell.edu)
  18. ^ 91-point advantage in 2008 (www.pewresearch.org)
  19. ^ 87-point advantage in 2012 (www.brookings.edu)
  20. ^ AP Photo/Russ Bynum (newsroom.ap.org)
  21. ^ Gallup report (news.gallup.com)
  22. ^ CBS-BET poll released on October 25 (www.cbsnews.com)
  23. ^ our research suggests (cdn.theconversation.com)
  24. ^ little to nothing that they can cite as examples of progress (cdn.theconversation.com)
  25. ^ political stalemate in Washington (www.nytimes.com)
  26. ^ economic inequality (www.washingtonpost.com)
  27. ^ widening health disparities (tcf.org)
  28. ^ student loan debt (www.americanprogress.org)
  29. ^ racism and police violence (www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov)
  30. ^ Sign up for The Conversation’s newsletter (theconversation.com)
  31. ^ making it appear that young Black men (www.donaldjtrump.com)
  32. ^ Don’t believe the hype (www.youtube.com)

Authors: Sam Fulwood III, Fellow, Center for Congressional and Presidential Studies, American University

Read more https://theconversation.com/are-50-cent-ice-cube-and-young-black-men-the-supporters-who-will-enable-trumps-return-to-the-white-house-not-exactly-148713

Metropolitan republishes selected articles from The Conversation USA with permission

Visit The Conversation to see more

Entertainment News

SHERYL LEE RALPH PRESENTS THE 30TH ANNUAL DIVAS: SIMPLY SINGING UPDATE

DIVAS Simply Singing!, the longest consecutive running musical AIDS benefit in the United States, hits a major milestone in 2020, hosting its 30th annual fundraiser for The D.I.V.A. Foundation as a virtual event and on Saturday, December 5th on K...

News Co - avatar News Co

MICHAEL MESEY and AMERICAN GREED Release “Together”

“Together” As the go-to special show and traveling drummer for Chuck Berry for many years, Michael Mesey had a blast creating explosive moments on stage with the legendary musical pioneer all over the country. Yet one of his most cherished me...

News Co - avatar News Co

Actress Paris Hepburn Fights Through Covid Crisis

The entertainment industry has been hard hit in 2019 as we all know.  Since Covid-19 started entering the US in January 2019, one by one, movie studios, talent agencies, actors, crews and everything else associated with the entertainment industry...

News Co - avatar News Co

Why You Should Explore Your Creativity

You might think that you weren’t fortunate enough to be gifted at birth with creativity. You might say, “Oh, my brother got the creative genes, and I didn’t,” or “Why would I want to be creative”? Someone once asked me that last question, to whi...

Angela Predhomme - avatar Angela Predhomme

What does being the Happiness Warrior mean to me?

I’ve always felt I’ve had an innate need to set things right. If I see someone or something struggling, my nature is to help. I want them to feel good about themselves and their abilities but most importantly to find the best solution that make...

Eric North aka “The Happiness Warrior” - avatar Eric North aka “The Happiness Warrior”

THE WORLD OPERATES NOT ON REALITY, BUT ON PERCEPTION OF REALITY

Ben Kingsley's character Cosmo in the 1992 cult classic Sneakers prophetically quipped , The world doesn't operate on reality, but on perception of reality. Those words have come to roost in this year 2020 as we find ourselves living in a world ...

Brandyn Cross - avatar Brandyn Cross

Metropolitan Business News

5 Key Factors To Starting A Website

Every business needs a website to be successful. However, this is a challenge for many due to the lack of coding and designing skills. The good news is, you do have a way around this—hire a deve...

News Co - avatar News Co

So You Want To Be A Project Manager? Here's What You Must Do

Project management is often a popular choice for people looking to make a mark in the organizations they work for. It's a great choice as well. If you hate monotony, love getting people and res...

News Co - avatar News Co

How to Deliver the Perfect Elevator Pitch

Do you struggle with explaining your career with professional or personal contacts, and you want to make a lasting impression? Whether you're looking for a job or building up your network, a wel...

Adam Jacobs - avatar Adam Jacobs

Three Asian Countries That are Leaders in Outsourcing

Would it surprise you to know that three of the top five ranked countries for ease of doing business are in Asia? Would it surprise you more to know that India and China aren’t even in the top 3...

Adam Jacobs - avatar Adam Jacobs

FCB and oOh! help Kiwis vote with dynamic campaign for Electoral Commission

oOh!media and FCB NZ are helping Kiwi voters exercise their democratic rights this general election, via a localised dynamic Out of Home campaign for the New Zealand Electoral Commission. The c...

Lighthouse Communications. - avatar Lighthouse Communications.

MODEL/ACTOR THORN CASTILLO IS THE “NEW FACE” OF SCHICK STYLIST

In 2019, just as his multi-faceted career was taking off, Thorn Castillo heard Robert Downey Jr. offer a sage bit of advice during an interview on photographer/director Sam Jones’ acclaimed multi-...

News Company - avatar News Company

Writers Wanted


News Co Media Group

Content & Technology Connecting Global Audiences

More Information - Less Opinion