Bolsonaro's approval rating is worse than any past Brazilian president at the 100-day mark
- Written by Helder Ferreira do Vale, Associate Professor, Graduate School of International and Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies
Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro was elected last year on a wave of popular anger at the country’s stagnant economy and political chaos, promising voters a “better future[1].”
After just over 100 days in office, many Brazilians feel this right-wing former congressman has not delivered[2] on that promise.
Bolsonaro’s approval rating, which began dropping immediately after he took office on Jan. 1, has declined from 49% in January to 34% in late March[3], according to the Brazilian Institute of Public Opinion and Statistics. That’s the lowest ever recorded for a Brazilian president at the 100-day mark.
Nepotism, hate speech and mismanagement
Bolsonaro’s rise to lead Latin America’s biggest country[4] after 13 years of leftist leadership was made possible by years of overlapping political, economic and crime crises that created widespread disillusionment[5] across Brazil.
Capitalizing on voter frustrations, Bolsonaro, a longtime lower house representative, ran a polarizing outsider campaign not unlike the 2016 presidential campaign of Donald Trump[6], now a close ally[7]. He demonized women and minorities, attacked democratic institutions and, according to a Brazilian court, incited hate and violence[8].
Still, he won the presidency last October with 55% of the vote[9], less than the more than 60% received by the leftist former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva[10], who won the 2002 and 2006 elections in a landslide. In Brazil, voting is compulsory.
Many Brazilians expressed hope that, once in office, Bolsonaro would set the demagogy and bigotry aside to focus on addressing the huge challenges facing Brazil. These include a long-stagnant economy[11], rampant government corruption[12] and record-setting urban violence[13].
That hasn’t happened.
Hours after taking office, Bolsonaro issued an executive order that decreased environmental protections of the Amazon[14], outraging environmentalists worldwide and endangering the indigenous Brazilians who live in the world’s biggest rainforest.
Indigenous men protest against Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro’s moves to open the Amazon to mining, deforestation and other natural resources exploitation, on Jan. 31, 2019.
Reuters/Nacho Doce[15]
On a recent visit to the Holocaust Museum in Israel, Bolsonaro made headlines for claiming that Germany’s Nazi Party was a leftist regime[16]. His foreign affairs minister only made things worse when he defended his boss’s comments by explaining that both Nazis and socialists are “anti-capitalist, anti-religion, collectivist [and] against individual freedom[17].”
Picking unnecessary fights
Bolsonaro has demonstrated a lack of mastery of the legislative process, despite having been a lawmaker for nearly three decades.
Reforming Brazil’s expensive, ailing pension system was one of Bolsonaro’s main electoral promises[18] to boost the economy. But his mismanagement of negotiations around a bill to save Brazil $US270 billion over the next 10 years[19] by raising the retirement age and increasing individual contributions has frustrated the fragile, cross-party coalition of lawmakers working to pass his plan.
Bolsonaro has picked fights[20] with supporters of the bill, including the speaker of the lower house. And he has failed to explain critical aspects of the proposed reform[21].
Pension reform, which requires three-fifths congressional support to pass, now seems unlikely to happen[22] before the June deadline Bolsonaro set – if it happens at all.
Pension reform also eluded Bolsonaro’s predecessor, former President Michel Temer, who was indicted on charges of money laundering in March.
AP Photo/Leo Correa[23]
Bolsonaro’s controversial cabinet
Concerns over corruption have likewise clouded Bolsonaro’s first 100 days.
Bolsonaro has failed to take seriously repeated corruption allegations against numerous aides[24]. That’s risky in Brazil, where a multi-year judicial investigation still underway has sent two presidents[25], several lawmakers[26] and dozens of corporate executives to jail for bribery.
And Bolsonaro recently raised eyebrows by suggesting that he’d like to appoint his son Carlos, a far-right Rio de Janiero city councilman who manages the president’s Twitter feed, to join his cabinet[27]. All three of the president’s sons play an unusually active role in their father’s government.
Bolsonaro’s frequent positive references to military dictatorship as a form of governance also has critics worried.
Protests erupted in early April after Bolsonaro called on Brazilians[28] to honor the anniversary of the 1964 coup[29] that ushered in military rule in Brazil. Brazil’s 24-year military dictatorship claimed 191 lives[30], “disappeared” 210 dissidents and tortured several thousand people, according to a 2014 government report[31].
“Liberty and democracy only exist when the armed forces want them to,” Bolsonaro has since commented[32].
Bolsonaro served in Brazil’s armed forces. His vice president, Hamilton Mourão[33], is a retired general. And eight out of the 22 ministers in Bolsonaro’s cabinet are military officers.
That’s a higher proportion of military men in government than any prior democratic administration in Brazil – higher even than some of its authoritarian regimes[34].
Some of Bolsonaro’s civilian cabinet ministers are equally controversial.
Damares Alves, the evangelical pastor picked to lead Brazil’s Ministry of Women, Family and Human Rights, has made it her mission to promote “family values[35],” which entails promoting traditional values and combating abortion as well as gender equality.
“It’s a new era in Brazil: Boys wear blue and girls wear pink!” she announced[36] on her first day in office.
Historically, the human rights ministry has worked to improve the lives of minorities in Brazil and ensure their legal protection.
And Bolsonaro’s first minister of education, Ricardo Vélez Rodríguez – who has since been fired for mismanagement[37] – outraged teachers when he ordered all public schools to submit to the ministry a video of schoolchildren singing the national anthem on the first day of the new school year.
Brazil’s literacy rate is among the lowest in Latin America, at 92%[38]. And its school dropout rate is among the region’s highest: 28% of students never graduate[39].
His demand may also have been illegal, since Brazilian law prohibits the recording of minors without parental consent.
Bolsonaro was elected to snap Brazil out of a deep slump. After three months in office, the “better future” he promised looks a lot like the crisis that came before.
References
- ^ better future (www.infomoney.com.br)
- ^ feel this right-wing former congressman has not delivered (www.nytimes.com)
- ^ 49% in January to 34% in late March (g1.globo.com)
- ^ lead Latin America’s biggest country (theconversation.com)
- ^ disillusionment (theconversation.com)
- ^ 2016 presidential campaign of Donald Trump (www.washingtonpost.com)
- ^ ally (www.nytimes.com)
- ^ incited hate and violence (www.nytimes.com)
- ^ 55% of the vote (theconversation.com)
- ^ Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (www.nytimes.com)
- ^ long-stagnant economy (theconversation.com)
- ^ rampant government corruption (theconversation.com)
- ^ record-setting urban violence (theconversation.com)
- ^ decreased environmental protections of the Amazon (www.theguardian.com)
- ^ Reuters/Nacho Doce (pictures.reuters.com)
- ^ Germany’s Nazi Party was a leftist regime (www.reuters.com)
- ^ anti-capitalist, anti-religion, collectivist [and] against individual freedom (oglobo.globo.com)
- ^ electoral promises (www.reuters.com)
- ^ $US270 billion over the next 10 years (www.reuters.com)
- ^ picked fights (www.brazilmonitor.com)
- ^ critical aspects of the proposed reform (uk.reuters.com)
- ^ now seems unlikely to happen (www.reuters.com)
- ^ AP Photo/Leo Correa (www.apimages.com)
- ^ numerous aides (www.nytimes.com)
- ^ two presidents (www.theguardian.com)
- ^ several lawmakers (www.cfr.org)
- ^ to join his cabinet (jovempan.uol.com.br)
- ^ called on Brazilians (www.france24.com)
- ^ 1964 coup (oxfordre.com)
- ^ 191 lives (www.theguardian.com)
- ^ 2014 government report (libya360.wordpress.com)
- ^ since commented (www.reuters.com)
- ^ Hamilton Mourão (www.youtube.com)
- ^ some of its authoritarian regimes (veja.abril.com.br)
- ^ family values (www.theguardian.com)
- ^ announced (www.youtube.com)
- ^ who has since been fired for mismanagement (www.dw.com)
- ^ at 92% (datatopics.worldbank.org)
- ^ 28% of students never graduate (data.worldbank.org)
Authors: Helder Ferreira do Vale, Associate Professor, Graduate School of International and Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies
