The Conversation

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Wed Oct 21

How might the campaign’s endgame be disrupted? Here are five scenarios, drawn from the history of election polling

Written by W. Joseph Campbell, Professor of Communication Studies, American University School of Communication

Will Trump voters -- like these at a rally, waving goodbye to him as he leaves -- defy the polls and send him back to the White House?Olivier Touron/AFP/Getty Images

The storyline of the presidential campaign seems to be solidifying, as polls show Joe Biden maintaining a sizable lead over President Donald J. Trump.

But the lead may not be...

How might the campaign’s endgame be disrupted? Here are five scenarios, drawn from the history of election polling

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