The Conversation

Wed Feb 15

Seismologists can't predict an impending earthquake, but longer term forecasts and brief warnings after one starts are possible

Written by Harold Tobin, Professor of Seismology and Geohazards, University of Washington

Seismologists monitor the Earth's activity, but can't predict a day, time and place for the next 'big one.'Christian Miranda/AFP via Getty Images

Almost like aftershocks, questions about earthquake prediction tend to follow disasters like the Feb. 6, 2023, Turkey-Syria quake. Could advance notice have prevented some of the devastation?...

Seismologists can't predict an impending earthquake, but longer term forecasts and brief warnings after one starts are possible

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